This article is written by Major (r) Haroon Rasheed. The writer is a Defense & Strategic Affairs Analyst.
Introduction: A Controversial Crossroads
Recently, unconfirmed reports have emerged suggesting that the United States is quietly pressuring Pakistan to consider signing the Abraham Accords—a historic normalization agreement between several Muslim countries and Israel. Renowned Pakistani journalist Hamid Mir has also hinted that such pressure isn’t new and that similar attempts were made during the first term of Donald Trump administration.
With Pakistan facing an unprecedented economic crisis, growing IMF dependency, and a reshaped Middle Eastern geopolitical landscape, the question arises: Is Pakistan preparing to normalize ties with Israel under external pressure? And if it does, what could be the consequences—political, social, and religious?
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What Are the Abraham Accords?
The Abraham Accords were first signed in 2020, initiated by the Trump administration, as a landmark peace agreement to normalize relations between Israel and countries like the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco. The agreement was marketed as a means to:
- Promote peace and economic cooperation in the Middle East.
- Counter the growing influence of Iran.
- Sideline the traditional Palestinian issue by focusing on state-to-state benefits.
- Strengthen strategic ties with the United States.
In return, these countries have received defense deals, economic investments, and diplomatic favors from Washington.
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Is Pakistan Being Pressured to Join?
While Pakistan has not officially commented on these recent rumors, there is growing speculation in diplomatic and media circles that the United States, backed by Gulf allies, is actively encouraging Pakistan to join the normalization framework.
Pakistan has traditionally supported Palestinian statehood, and its constitutionally embedded ideological stance makes formal recognition of Israel a sensitive and controversial issue.
However, the economic situation in Pakistan is dire:
- Skyrocketing inflation and a weak rupee
- Over $130 billion in external debt
- Repeated IMF bailouts
- Desperate need for foreign direct investment and regional trade routes
These factors could push policymakers toward pragmatic decisions that may override ideological narratives.
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Would Pakistan Sign the Abraham Accords?
At this stage, no official roadmap toward normalization with Israel has been declared. However, some indicators point toward a potential shift in the future:
1. Silent diplomacy: Backchannel communications between Pakistani and Israeli representatives have occurred in the past, including reports of secret meetings in third countries.
2. Changing Gulf dynamics: Traditional allies like UAE and Saudi Arabia are no longer bound by the Palestine-first approach.
3. Geostrategic repositioning: The U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan and cooling relations with China may prompt Pakistan to rebuild relations with Washington.
4. Economic pragmatism: Recognition could open doors to Israeli technology, agriculture cooperation, and access to Western capital markets.
However, such a decision will not be taken lightly and would almost certainly involve military, intelligence, and religious consensus behind closed doors.
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What Will Be the Public Reaction?
If Pakistan were to formally sign the Abraham Accords or recognize Israel, the public and political backlash would be immediate and intense:
Religious parties (Jamaat-e-Islami, JUI-F, TLP) will oppose normalization fiercely and may launch nationwide protests.
Mainstream opposition would likely exploit the decision to gain political mileage by accusing the government of betraying the Kashmir and Palestine causes.
Civil society, youth activists, and a large section of the urban middle class—already skeptical of government policies—may perceive this as a “sellout for dollars.”
Extremist elements could use the decision as propaganda to radicalize and mobilize followers.
On the other hand, a section of the population—especially business leaders, academics, and diaspora communities—might see it as a realistic step toward progress and economic stability.
In short, the reaction would likely be polarizing and politically explosive.
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Implications for Pakistan’s Foreign Policy
If Pakistan signs the Abraham Accords, it would fundamentally change:
- Its position in the Muslim world, especially within the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC)
- Its diplomatic relations with Iran and Turkey, both of which oppose normalization with Israel
- Its traditional narrative of supporting oppressed Muslim nations (Kashmir and Palestine)
- Its strategic alignment, potentially improving ties with the West and Gulf Arab states
But it would also raise questions about Pakistan’s ideological identity, which has historically been rooted in Islamic unity and anti-colonial solidarity.
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Conclusion Between Principle and Survival
Pakistan today stands at a delicate crossroads. On one side lies economic necessity, international pressure, and the lure of geopolitical benefits. On the other stands deep-rooted ideological identity, religious solidarity, and public emotion.
The debate around the Abraham Accords is not just about Israel—it’s about what kind of country Pakistan wants to be in the 21st century: a state driven by principle, or one shaped by survival.
Whatever decision is taken, it must be done transparently, with consensus, and by weighing long-term national interest over short-term gains.
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This article is written by Major (r) Haroon Rasheed. The writer is a Defense & Strategic Affairs Analyst.
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