The Taliban’s Influence in FATA and Impact on Pakistan

Maulana Fazlur Rehman has highlighted the dominant presence of the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). This armed group imposes a significant challenge for any development projects in the region, demanding a 10% share of the project cost in exchange for permission to proceed. Failure to comply results in project obstruction. Furthermore, since FATA’s merger with Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), the TTP has called for its separation and a return to its former autonomous status.
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Since the Taliban took control of Afghanistan on August 15, 2021, there has been a substantial surge in terrorist violence incidents, not only in FATA but also in the Balochistan province. Reports indicate a 73% increase in such incidents during the first 21 months following the Taliban’s ascent to power in Afghanistan. These security challenges pose a grave threat to Pakistan’s already fragile economy.
Abdul Basit, a research fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, observes, “This entire region is unstable, be it Afghanistan or Pakistan. It is a spillover effect of the developments in Afghanistan.”
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Efforts to engage in dialogue with the TTP have, unfortunately, provided the militant organization with opportunities to regroup and intensify their attacks. This situation leaves Pakistan with only two viable options. The first is articulated by Haqqani, who argues, “Pakistan’s civil and military leadership has been reluctant to recognize that violent radical Islamists are not just disgruntled people who can be placated with a negotiated settlement.” [The New Humanitarian]This option entails launching a comprehensive military campaign against these rogue elements.
The second option involves a negotiated settlement.
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Neither of these options presents an ideal solution for Pakistan. Past attempts at negotiated settlements with the TTP have been disregarded whenever it suited the militants. Even if a settlement were achieved, there is no guarantee that the TTP would not demand further concessions, potentially placing the state in a precarious position and setting a troublesome precedent. Regarding the option of dealing with these militants with an iron hand, it would only prove effective if every avenue for cross-border infiltration is rigorously sealed to cut off external support.
In conclusion, finding a lasting solution is complex and fraught with uncertainty, and the situation underscores the pressing need for a multifaceted approach to address these security concerns.
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The writer is a lawyer, academic and political analyst. She has authored a book titled ‘A Comparative Analysis of Media & Media Laws in Pakistan.’ She can be contacted at: yasmeenali62@gmail.com and tweets at @yasmeen_9
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